Issues of assessing the potential economic significance of quarantine species of insects and mites in the process of pest risk analysis
https://doi.org/10.69536/b3192-1363-1396-b
Abstract
The article provides an analysis of existing approaches to assessing the potential economic significance of pests (insects and mites) when conducting pest risk analysis. The insufficiency of the existing international and Russian methodological framework for conducting such an assessment is shown. The applicability and accuracy of available assessment methods were analyzed. The greatest practical applicability of the method of drawing up partial budgeting is shown. Based on existing methods and practices, an improved methodology has been proposed that takes into account empirical data on the harmfulness of insects and mites to agricultural crops and the adaptation probability (taken as the suitability of conditions), determined in accordance with a mathematical model of the potential species distribution. This approach is justified by an objective correlation between harmfulness and the number of pests, in turn determined by the suitability of environmental conditions. An approach to the qualitative assessment of potential economic losses is proposed based on the correlation of calculated indicators of potential damage and gross domestic product in the pest risk analysis area. The presented methodology can significantly increase the reliability and accuracy of assessing the potential economic significance of potentially dangerous species of insects and mites when conducting pest risk analysis, meets the requirements of legislation and methodological documents in the field of plant quarantine and is mathematically equivalent to assessment methods previously used in the practice of pest risk analysis in the Russian Federation. Prospects for further improvement of methods for assessing the negative impact of pests when conducting pest risk analysis based on more detailed models of agricultural production and economic relationships are noted.
Keywords
Supporting agencies: The work was carried out within the framework of the state assignment for the implementation of public works (USISU NIOKTR No. 122041300171-6).
About the Author
K. A. Grebennikov
Federal State Budgetary Institution “All-Russian Plant
Quarantine Center” (FGBU “VNIIKR”)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Konstantin Grebennikov, Leading Researcher,
Insects and Mites Ecology and Genetics Laboratory
Bykovo, Urban district Ramensky, Moscow Oblast, 140150
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For citations:
Grebennikov K.A. Issues of assessing the potential economic significance of quarantine species of insects and mites in the process of pest risk analysis. Plant Health and Quarantine. 2024;(1):29-40. https://doi.org/10.69536/b3192-1363-1396-b
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